Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Foxworth vs TJ Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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TJ Brown
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TJ Brown

“Downtown”

20-12-0LightweightRDC

1601Solid

Tale of the tape

18-4-0Record20-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Minnesota Fight FactoryTeamWestside MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon FoxworthNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
TJ BrownNow 1601
If they win+12→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
32%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.89
51%
Strike defense
49%
0
Takedown avg.
3.41
TBD
Takedown accuracy
58%
0%
Takedown defense
37%
0
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Brandon FoxworthTJ Brown
1600200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
4 (20%)
16 (89%)
Submission
12 (60%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brandon Foxworth and TJ Brown within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.

Brandon Foxworth finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, TJ Brown 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.