Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Jenkins vs Rick Davis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Brandon Jenkins
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Brandon Jenkins

“The Human Highlight Reel”

18-12-0WelterweightKC

1549Average

Tale of the tape

18-12-0Record3-1-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"HeightTBD
71"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamLas Vegas Combat Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon JenkinsNow 1549
If they win+16→ 1565
If they lose-16→ 1533
Rick DavisNow 1548
If they win+24→ 1572
If they lose-24→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.93
Sig. strikes / min
3.09
41%
Strike accuracy
50%
8.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.19
33%
Strike defense
64%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
27%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brandon JenkinsRick Davis
155020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (67%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
3 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (17%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brandon Jenkins and Rick Davis within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1548), separated by just 1 points.

Brandon Jenkins finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Rick Davis 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.