Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Melendez vs Dedrek Sanders

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-25-0Record9-4-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
TBDReach70"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elite PerformanceTeamAnchorage Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Dedrek Sanders is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Brandon Melendez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brandon MelendezNow 1482
If they win+13→ 1495
If they lose-11→ 1471
Dedrek SandersNow 1499
If they win+23→ 1522
If they lose-25→ 1474

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brandon MelendezDedrek Sanders
14501500155020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

10 (40%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
12 (48%)
Submission
2 (22%)
3 (12%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Dedrek Sanders63%
Brandon Melendez 37%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Dedrek Sanders a 63% favorite over Brandon Melendez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Dedrek Sanders holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1499 to 1482, a 17-point edge.

Brandon Melendez finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Dedrek Sanders 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.