Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Royval vs Ronaldo Rodríguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-9-0Record17-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Factory XTeamPrime Combat Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon RoyvalNow 1697
If they win+12→ 1709
If they lose-12→ 1685
Ronaldo RodríguezNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1729 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.54
Sig. strikes / min
2.13
42%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.15
43%
Strike defense
47%
0.65
Takedown avg.
1.13
75%
Takedown accuracy
50%
45%
Takedown defense
64%
1.08
Submission avg.
1.13

Trajectory

Brandon RoyvalRonaldo Rodríguez
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (24%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
9 (53%)
Submission
5 (31%)
4 (24%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronaldo Rodríguez60%
Brandon Royval 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronaldo Rodríguez a 60% favorite over Brandon Royval in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brandon Royval's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1697), separated by just 0 points.

Brandon Royval enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brandon Royval finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Ronaldo Rodríguez 75%.

Brandon Royval carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.