Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Shuey vs Chris Avila

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-6-0Record8-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
TBDReach39,0"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team HardcoreTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team

What's at stake

Chris Avila is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Brandon Shuey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brandon ShueyNow 1477
If they win+17→ 1494
If they lose-15→ 1462
Chris AvilaNow 1495
If they win+15→ 1510
If they lose-17→ 1478

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.37
TBD
Strike accuracy
30%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.17
TBD
Strike defense
49%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
46%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brandon ShueyChris Avila
1450150020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
7 (100%)
Submission
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Avila67%
Brandon Shuey 33%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Avila a 67% favorite over Brandon Shuey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Chris Avila holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1495 to 1477, a 18-point edge.

Brandon Shuey finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Chris Avila 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.