Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Thatch vs Ronald Paradeiser

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record23-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'2"
74,0"Reach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamOctagon Fighting Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon ThatchNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
Ronald ParadeiserNow 1650
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.70
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
1.36
Takedown avg.
TBD
67%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.68
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brandon ThatchRonald Paradeiser
1650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
14 (61%)
3 (27%)
Submission
3 (13%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronald Paradeiser66%
Brandon Thatch 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronald Paradeiser a 66% favorite over Brandon Thatch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1650), separated by just 1 points.

Brandon Thatch enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ronald Paradeiser enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brandon Thatch finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ronald Paradeiser 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.