Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Vera vs Tai Tuivasa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Brandon Vera
us

Brandon Vera

“The Truth”

16-10-0HeavyweightONE

1614Solid
Tai Tuivasa
au

Tai Tuivasa

“Bam Bam”

14-10-0HeavyweightUFC

1611Solid

Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach75"
246 lbsWeight265 lbs
Alliance MMATeamLions High Performance Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon VeraNow 1614
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1602
Tai TuivasaNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.03
Sig. strikes / min
3.66
56%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.97
53%
Strike defense
44%
0.70
Takedown avg.
0
53%
Takedown accuracy
0%
60%
Takedown defense
60%
0.18
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brandon VeraTai Tuivasa
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (69%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
1 (6%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (25%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Tai Tuivasa60%
Brandon Vera 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tai Tuivasa a 60% favorite over Brandon Vera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brandon Vera's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1611), separated by just 3 points.

Brandon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Tai Tuivasa enters on a 7-fight loss streak.

Brandon Vera finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.