Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendan Allen vs Jeremy Horn

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jeremy Horn
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Jeremy Horn

“Gumby”

92-22-5MiddleweightEC

1801Great

Tale of the tape

27-7-0Record92-22-5
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamJeremy Horn's Elite Performance

What's at stake

Brendan Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Horn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brendan AllenNow 1818
If they win+11→ 1829
If they lose-13→ 1805
Jeremy HornNow 1801
If they win+13→ 1814
If they lose-11→ 1790

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1734 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.59
Sig. strikes / min
1.34
53%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.87
47%
Strike defense
55%
1.56
Takedown avg.
0.45
42%
Takedown accuracy
13%
57%
Takedown defense
30%
1.14
Submission avg.
1.56

Trajectory

Brendan AllenJeremy Horn
1800202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (22%)
KO/TKO
26 (28%)
14 (52%)
Submission
54 (59%)
7 (26%)
Decision
12 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Brendan Allen79%
Jeremy Horn 21%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Brendan Allen a 79% favorite over Jeremy Horn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Brendan Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1801, a 17-point edge.

Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Brendan Allen finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Horn 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.