Brendan Schaub vs Jovan Leka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record13-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
TBDReach75"
238 lbsWeight259 lbs
Reign MMATeamFamily Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brendan SchaubJovan Leka
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jovan Leka70%
Brendan Schaub 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jovan Leka a 70% favorite over Brendan Schaub in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brendan Schaub's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1677), separated by just 5 points.
Brendan Schaub enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jovan Leka enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Brendan Schaub finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Jovan Leka 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.