Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendon Marotte vs Renan Barão

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Renan Barão
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Renan Barão

“The Baron”

34-10-0BantamweightGFL

1598Solid

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record34-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
New England CartelTeamPitbull Brothers

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brendon MarotteNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580
Renan BarãoNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.41
Sig. strikes / min
3.78
50%
Strike accuracy
37%
5.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.90
29%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
1.49
TBD
Takedown accuracy
42%
0%
Takedown defense
91%
0
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Brendon MarotteRenan Barão
160016502024

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
8 (24%)
1 (13%)
Submission
15 (44%)
2 (25%)
Decision
11 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Brendon Marotte60%
Renan Barão 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brendon Marotte a 60% favorite over Renan Barão in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Renan Barão's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1598), separated by just 2 points.

Brendon Marotte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Renan Barão enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Brendon Marotte finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Renan Barão 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.