Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendon Marotte vs Tristan Connelly

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record14-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'11"
70"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
New England CartelTeamRyan's MMA - Checkmat Vancouver

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brendon MarotteNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580
Tristan ConnellyNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.41
Sig. strikes / min
3.31
50%
Strike accuracy
51%
5.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.96
29%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
0.33
TBD
Takedown accuracy
14%
0%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Brendon MarotteTristan Connelly
16001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
1 (13%)
Submission
9 (64%)
2 (25%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Brendon Marotte63%
Tristan Connelly 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brendon Marotte a 63% favorite over Tristan Connelly in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tristan Connelly's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1597), separated by just 1 points.

Brendon Marotte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tristan Connelly enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brendon Marotte finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Tristan Connelly 93%.

Brendon Marotte carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.