Brendson Ribeiro vs Chuck Grigsby
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-10-0Record23-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'6"
81"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550
If they win+12→ 1580
If they lose-12→ 1556
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1488 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brendson RibeiroChuck Grigsby
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brendson Ribeiro63%
Chuck Grigsby 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brendson Ribeiro a 63% favorite over Chuck Grigsby in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chuck Grigsby's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1568), separated by just 2 points.
Brendson Ribeiro enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brendson Ribeiro finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Chuck Grigsby 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.