Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendson Ribeiro vs Fábio Maldonado

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-10-0Record28-18-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
81"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight227 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamTeam Maldonado

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brendson RibeiroNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550
Fábio MaldonadoNow 1563
If they win+12→ 1575
If they lose-12→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
5.29
43%
Strike accuracy
59%
3.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.31
53%
Strike defense
54%
0.85
Takedown avg.
0.44
43%
Takedown accuracy
57%
21%
Takedown defense
62%
0.57
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Brendson RibeiroFábio Maldonado
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
19 (68%)
7 (41%)
Submission
2 (7%)
1 (6%)
Decision
7 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Brendson Ribeiro64%
Fábio Maldonado 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brendson Ribeiro a 64% favorite over Fábio Maldonado in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1563), separated by just 3 points.

Brendson Ribeiro enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Fábio Maldonado enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brendson Ribeiro finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Fábio Maldonado 75%.

Brendson Ribeiro carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.