Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendson Ribeiro vs Junior Tafa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Junior Tafa
nz

Junior Tafa

“The Juggernaut”

7-6-0HeavyweightUFC

1560Solid

Tale of the tape

17-10-0Record7-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
81"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight249 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamNTG Fight & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brendson RibeiroNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550
Junior TafaNow 1560
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-16→ 1544

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
3.53
43%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
53%
Strike defense
52%
0.85
Takedown avg.
0
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
21%
Takedown defense
73%
0.57
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brendson RibeiroJunior Tafa
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
7 (100%)
7 (41%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (6%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brendson Ribeiro and Junior Tafa within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1560), separated by just 6 points.

Brendson Ribeiro enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brendson Ribeiro finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Junior Tafa 100%.

Brendson Ribeiro carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.