Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendson Ribeiro vs Vinicius Moreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-10-0Record12-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
81"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamFive Rounds

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brendson RibeiroNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550
Vinicius MoreiraNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
43%
Strike accuracy
59%
3.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.07
53%
Strike defense
43%
0.85
Takedown avg.
1.97
43%
Takedown accuracy
19%
21%
Takedown defense
0%
0.57
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Brendson RibeiroVinicius Moreira
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
7 (41%)
Submission
10 (83%)
1 (6%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Brendson Ribeiro59%
Vinicius Moreira 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brendson Ribeiro a 59% favorite over Vinicius Moreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1566), separated by just 0 points.

Brendson Ribeiro enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brendson Ribeiro finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Moreira 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.