Brett Bye vs Jutaro Nakao
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-0-0Record26-21-4
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Next Edge Academy of Martial ArtsTeamJutaro Nakao MMA School
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1555
If they lose-24→ 1507
If they win+12→ 1545
If they lose-12→ 1521
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brett ByeJutaro Nakao
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brett Bye66%
Jutaro Nakao 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brett Bye a 66% favorite over Jutaro Nakao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jutaro Nakao's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1531 vs 1533), separated by just 2 points.
Jutaro Nakao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jutaro Nakao 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.