Combat Edge Intelligence

Brett Rogers vs Kent Mafileo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-10-0Record6-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
262 lbsWeight248 lbs
TBDTeamRise Boxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brett RogersNow 1573
If they win+12→ 1585
If they lose-12→ 1561
Kent MafileoNow 1577
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brett RogersKent Mafileo
155016001650201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

15 (88%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (12%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Kent Mafileo63%
Brett Rogers 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Kent Mafileo a 63% favorite over Brett Rogers in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1577), separated by just 4 points.

Brett Rogers finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Kent Mafileo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.