Brian Davidson vs Clay Collard
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record25-13-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
TBDReach73.00"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
K2L GrindhouseTeamFour7 Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian DavidsonClay Collard
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brian Davidson52%
Clay Collard 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brian Davidson a 52% favorite over Clay Collard in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Clay Collard's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1635), separated by just 3 points.
Brian Davidson enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Clay Collard enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brian Davidson finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Clay Collard 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.