Brian Foster vs Niko Price
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-13-0Record16-11-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach76"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Factory XTeamFutures MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1636
If they lose-12→ 1612
If they win+12→ 1635
If they lose-12→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian FosterNiko Price
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Niko Price70%
Brian Foster 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Niko Price a 70% favorite over Brian Foster in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brian Foster's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1623), separated by just 1 points.
Niko Price enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brian Foster finishes 97% of wins inside the distance, Niko Price 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.