Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Gassaway vs Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-21-2Record6-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian GassawayNow 1555
If they win+12→ 1567
If they lose-12→ 1543
Eslam Mostafa Abdel MenemNow 1562
If they win+24→ 1586
If they lose-24→ 1538

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1482 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.34
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
27%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
45%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
43%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brian GassawayEslam Mostafa Abdel Menem
15001550200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (22%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
11 (41%)
Submission
2 (33%)
10 (37%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem70%
Brian Gassaway 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem a 70% favorite over Brian Gassaway in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1562), separated by just 7 points.

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Brian Gassaway finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.