Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Gassaway vs Hazem Kayyali

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-21-2Record2-0-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian GassawayNow 1555
If they win+12→ 1567
If they lose-12→ 1543
Hazem KayyaliNow 1552
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.34
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
27%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
45%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
43%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brian GassawayHazem Kayyali
15502008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (22%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
11 (41%)
Submission
1 (50%)
10 (37%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Hazem Kayyali60%
Brian Gassaway 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hazem Kayyali a 60% favorite over Brian Gassaway in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brian Gassaway's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1552), separated by just 3 points.

Brian Gassaway finishes 63% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.