Brian Geraghty vs Kyle Prepolec
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-18-1Record18-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'10"
TBDReach70"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
Freestyle AcademyTeamMaximum Training Centre
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1590
If they lose-12→ 1566
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian GeraghtyKyle Prepolec
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyle Prepolec52%
Brian Geraghty 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Prepolec a 52% favorite over Brian Geraghty in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brian Geraghty's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1577), separated by just 1 points.
Kyle Prepolec enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brian Geraghty finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Prepolec 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.