Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Kelleher vs Cody Durden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cody Durden
us

Cody Durden

“Custom Made”

18-10-1FlyweightUFC

1637Solid

Tale of the tape

24-16-0Record18-10-1
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Maxum BJJTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian KelleherNow 1635
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623
Cody DurdenNow 1637
If they win+12→ 1649
If they lose-12→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.31
Sig. strikes / min
3.24
41%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.94
55%
Strike defense
51%
1.68
Takedown avg.
3.99
42%
Takedown accuracy
10%
60%
Takedown defense
57%
0.67
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Brian KelleherCody Durden
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (33%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
10 (42%)
Submission
6 (33%)
6 (25%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Cody Durden66%
Brian Kelleher 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cody Durden a 66% favorite over Brian Kelleher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1637), separated by just 2 points.

Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Brian Kelleher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Cody Durden 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.