Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Kelleher vs Cole Escovedo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-16-0Record17-9-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Maxum BJJTeamPacific Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian KelleherNow 1635
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623
Cole EscovedoNow 1636
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.31
Sig. strikes / min
1.77
41%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.32
55%
Strike defense
49%
1.68
Takedown avg.
0.43
42%
Takedown accuracy
33%
60%
Takedown defense
13%
0.67
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brian KelleherCole Escovedo
16501700201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (33%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
10 (42%)
Submission
9 (53%)
6 (25%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Cole Escovedo53%
Brian Kelleher 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cole Escovedo a 53% favorite over Brian Kelleher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.

Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Cole Escovedo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brian Kelleher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Cole Escovedo 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.