Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Kelleher vs Damian Stasiak

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-16-0Record14-10-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'5"
66"Reach70,0"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Maxum BJJTeamOctopus Lodz

What's at stake

Brian Kelleher is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Damian Stasiak carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brian KelleherNow 1635
If they win+10→ 1645
If they lose-14→ 1621
Damian StasiakNow 1575
If they win+19→ 1594
If they lose-13→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.31
Sig. strikes / min
1.86
41%
Strike accuracy
36%
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.10
55%
Strike defense
53%
1.68
Takedown avg.
2.64
42%
Takedown accuracy
35%
60%
Takedown defense
44%
0.67
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Brian KelleherDamian Stasiak
160016501700202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
10 (42%)
Submission
11 (79%)
6 (25%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Damian Stasiak63%
Brian Kelleher 37%Elo baseline: 41%

The Combat Edge model makes Damian Stasiak a 63% favorite over Brian Kelleher in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brian Kelleher's way (41%).

Brian Kelleher holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1635 to 1575, a 60-point edge.

Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Brian Kelleher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Damian Stasiak 86%.

Damian Stasiak carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.