Brian Kelleher vs Gustavo Lopez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-16-0Record16-8-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'5"
66"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Maxum BJJTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian KelleherGustavo Lopez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gustavo Lopez66%
Brian Kelleher 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gustavo Lopez a 66% favorite over Brian Kelleher in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brian Kelleher's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1635), separated by just 0 points.
Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Gustavo Lopez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Brian Kelleher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Gustavo Lopez 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.