Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Kelleher vs Ray Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-16-0Record16-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Maxum BJJTeamOhana Academy

What's at stake

Brian Kelleher is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ray Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brian KelleherNow 1635
If they win+10→ 1645
If they lose-14→ 1621
Ray RodriguezNow 1575
If they win+14→ 1589
If they lose-10→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.31
Sig. strikes / min
0.90
41%
Strike accuracy
28%
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.89
55%
Strike defense
41%
1.68
Takedown avg.
1.42
42%
Takedown accuracy
50%
60%
Takedown defense
44%
0.67
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brian KelleherRay Rodriguez
1550160016501700201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
10 (42%)
Submission
8 (50%)
6 (25%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Ray Rodriguez52%
Brian Kelleher 48%Elo baseline: 41%

The Combat Edge model makes Ray Rodriguez a 52% favorite over Brian Kelleher in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brian Kelleher's way (41%).

Brian Kelleher holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1635 to 1575, a 60-point edge.

Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ray Rodriguez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brian Kelleher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ray Rodriguez 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.