Brian Kelleher vs Ray Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-16-0Record16-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Maxum BJJTeamOhana Academy
What's at stake
Brian Kelleher is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ray Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1646
If they lose-14→ 1622
If they win+14→ 1588
If they lose-10→ 1564
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brian KelleherRay Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brian Kelleher65%
Ray Rodriguez 35%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Brian Kelleher a 65% favorite over Ray Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Brian Kelleher holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1574, a 62-point edge.
Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ray Rodriguez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brian Kelleher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ray Rodriguez 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.