Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Kelleher vs Ruslan Satiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-16-0Record6-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
66"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Maxum BJJTeamKHK MMA Dagestan

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian KelleherNow 1635
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623
Ruslan SatievNow 1636
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.31
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
1.68
Takedown avg.
TBD
42%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
60%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.67
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brian KelleherRuslan Satiev
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
10 (42%)
Submission
2 (33%)
6 (25%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Ruslan Satiev71%
Brian Kelleher 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Satiev a 71% favorite over Brian Kelleher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.

Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ruslan Satiev enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Brian Kelleher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Satiev 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.