Brian Kelleher vs Shane Campbell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-16-0Record24-8-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height6'0"
66"Reach71,0"
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
Maxum BJJTeamShaolin Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623
If they win+12→ 1646
If they lose-12→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian KelleherShane Campbell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shane Campbell63%
Brian Kelleher 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shane Campbell a 63% favorite over Brian Kelleher in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brian Kelleher's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1634), separated by just 1 points.
Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brian Kelleher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Shane Campbell 63%.
Shane Campbell carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.