Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Manning vs Josh Fremd

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record11-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'4"
-Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA CorkTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian ManningNow 1609
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585
Josh FremdNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.52
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.23
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.66
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
30%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.09

Trajectory

Brian ManningJosh Fremd
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
1 (17%)
Submission
4 (36%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Manning64%
Josh Fremd 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Manning a 64% favorite over Josh Fremd in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Fremd's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1610), separated by just 1 points.

Josh Fremd enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brian Manning finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Josh Fremd 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.