Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Manning vs Josh Samman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record12-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
-Reach79,0"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
MMA CorkTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian ManningNow 1609
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585
Josh SammanNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.08
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.47
TBD
Strike defense
35%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.09
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
33%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Brian ManningJosh Samman
155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
8 (67%)
1 (17%)
Submission
3 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Manning70%
Josh Samman 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Manning a 70% favorite over Josh Samman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1606), separated by just 3 points.

Josh Samman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brian Manning finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Josh Samman 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.