Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Manning vs Marcelo Guimaraes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record9-2-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA CorkTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian ManningNow 1609
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585
Marcelo GuimaraesNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.67
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.41
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.99
TBD
Takedown accuracy
14%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brian ManningMarcelo Guimaraes
155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
1 (17%)
Submission
2 (22%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Manning71%
Marcelo Guimaraes 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Manning a 71% favorite over Marcelo Guimaraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1606), separated by just 3 points.

Marcelo Guimaraes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brian Manning finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marcelo Guimaraes 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.