Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Manning vs Tomasz Drwal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record22-6-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA CorkTeamSzkola Walki Drwala

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian ManningNow 1609
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585
Tomasz DrwalNow 1608
If they win+12→ 1620
If they lose-12→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.29
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.26
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.55
TBD
Takedown accuracy
60%
TBD
Takedown defense
82%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Brian ManningTomasz Drwal
155016001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
14 (64%)
1 (17%)
Submission
5 (23%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Manning71%
Tomasz Drwal 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Manning a 71% favorite over Tomasz Drwal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1608), separated by just 1 points.

Brian Manning finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tomasz Drwal 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.