Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Ortega vs Manny Bermudez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Manny Bermudez
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Manny Bermudez

“The Bermudez Triangle”

15-2-0FeatherweightNEF

1718Good

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record15-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'6"
69"Reach40,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Black HouseTeamSouth Shore Sportfighting

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian OrtegaNow 1716
If they win+16→ 1732
If they lose-16→ 1700
Manny BermudezNow 1718
If they win+16→ 1734
If they lose-16→ 1702

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1776 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
37%
Strike accuracy
61%
6.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.68
49%
Strike defense
47%
0.93
Takedown avg.
3.06
25%
Takedown accuracy
55%
55%
Takedown defense
0%
0.93
Submission avg.
3.06

Trajectory

Brian OrtegaManny Bermudez
1700175020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
8 (50%)
Submission
12 (80%)
5 (31%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Manny Bermudez57%
Brian Ortega 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Manny Bermudez a 57% favorite over Brian Ortega in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1716 vs 1718), separated by just 2 points.

Brian Ortega enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brian Ortega finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Manny Bermudez 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.