Brian Stann vs Diyar Nurgozhay
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record11-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTobet Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian StannDiyar Nurgozhay
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diyar Nurgozhay66%
Brian Stann 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Diyar Nurgozhay a 66% favorite over Brian Stann in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brian Stann's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1683), separated by just 2 points.
Brian Stann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brian Stann finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Diyar Nurgozhay 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.