Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Stapleton vs Dominic Clark

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record15-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
N/AReachTBD
161 lbsWeight159 lbs
TBDTeamPKG

What's at stake

Dominic Clark is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brian Stapleton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brian StapletonNow 1473
If they win+26→ 1499
If they lose-22→ 1451
Dominic ClarkNow 1497
If they win+11→ 1508
If they lose-13→ 1484

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brian StapletonDominic Clark
15002021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Stapleton60%
Dominic Clark 40%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 60% favorite over Dominic Clark in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dominic Clark's way (47%).

Dominic Clark holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1497 to 1473, a 24-point edge.

Dominic Clark enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dominic Clark 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.