Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Stapleton vs Erick Montaño

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record10-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
N/AReach73"
161 lbsWeight169 lbs
TBDTeamBonebreakers MMA

What's at stake

Erick Montaño is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Brian Stapleton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brian StapletonNow 1473
If they win+25→ 1498
If they lose-23→ 1450
Erick MontañoNow 1490
If they win+15→ 1505
If they lose-17→ 1473

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.79
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.06
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.29
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brian StapletonErick Montaño
1500202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Stapleton53%
Erick Montaño 47%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 53% favorite over Erick Montaño in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Erick Montaño's way (48%).

Erick Montaño holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1490 to 1473, a 17-point edge.

Erick Montaño 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.