Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Stapleton vs Jason Von Flue

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record14-12-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
N/AReachTBD
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Live Wire

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian StapletonNow 1473
If they win+25→ 1498
If they lose-23→ 1450
Jason Von FlueNow 1485
If they win+12→ 1497
If they lose-12→ 1473

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.59
TBD
Strike accuracy
35%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.55
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.06
TBD
Takedown accuracy
18%
TBD
Takedown defense
59%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.59

Trajectory

Brian StapletonJason Von Flue
15001550200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Submission
13 (93%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Stapleton60%
Jason Von Flue 40%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 60% favorite over Jason Von Flue in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jason Von Flue's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1473 vs 1485), separated by just 12 points.

Jason Von Flue 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.