Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Stapleton vs Joe Martin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record6-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
N/AReachTBD
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamTBD

What's at stake

Brian Stapleton is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Joe Martin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brian StapletonNow 1473
If they win+20→ 1493
If they lose-28→ 1445
Joe MartinNow 1421
If they win+18→ 1439
If they lose-14→ 1407

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brian StapletonJoe Martin
1400145020052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (83%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Stapleton60%
Joe Martin 40%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 60% favorite over Joe Martin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Brian Stapleton holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1473 to 1421, a 52-point edge.

Joe Martin 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.