Brian Stapleton vs Josh Neal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record6-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"HeightTBD
N/AReachTBD
161 lbsWeight160 lbs
TBDTeamTBD
What's at stake
Brian Stapleton is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Josh Neal carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1494
If they lose-27→ 1446
If they win+18→ 1440
If they lose-14→ 1408
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian StapletonJosh Neal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brian Stapleton72%
Josh Neal 28%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 72% favorite over Josh Neal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Brian Stapleton holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1473 to 1422, a 51-point edge.
Josh Neal enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Josh Neal 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.