Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Stapleton vs Mike Dolce

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record5-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
N/AReachTBD
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamIndependent

What's at stake

Brian Stapleton is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Mike Dolce carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brian StapletonNow 1473
If they win+19→ 1492
If they lose-29→ 1444
Mike DolceNow 1398
If they win+19→ 1417
If they lose-13→ 1385

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brian StapletonMike Dolce
14001450150020082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Stapleton75%
Mike Dolce 25%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 75% favorite over Mike Dolce in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Brian Stapleton holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1473 to 1398, a 75-point edge.

Mike Dolce enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mike Dolce 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.