Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Stapleton vs Rich Walsh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rich Walsh
au

Rich Walsh

“Filthy Rich”

9-5-0WelterweightUFC

1481Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record9-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
N/AReach73.00
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamVT1 Martial Arts Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian StapletonNow 1473
If they win+25→ 1498
If they lose-23→ 1450
Rich WalshNow 1481
If they win+23→ 1504
If they lose-25→ 1456

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.72
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.55
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Brian StapletonRich Walsh
15002015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (11%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brian Stapleton and Rich Walsh within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1473 vs 1481), separated by just 8 points.

Rich Walsh enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rich Walsh 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.