Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Stapleton vs Ryan McGilivray

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record0-0-0
WelterweightDivisionTBD
5'10"HeightTBD
N/AReachTBD
161 lbsWeightTBD
TBDTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian StapletonNow 1473
If they win+25→ 1498
If they lose-23→ 1450
Ryan McGilivrayNow 1482
If they win+23→ 1505
If they lose-25→ 1457

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.27
TBD
Strike accuracy
21%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.20
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
44%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Combat Edge model read

Ryan McGilivray58%
Brian Stapleton 42%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan McGilivray a 58% favorite over Brian Stapleton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1473 vs 1482), separated by just 9 points.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.