Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Stapleton vs Sammy Morgan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sammy Morgan
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Sammy Morgan

“The Squeeze”

18-12-0WelterweightSF

1472Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record18-12-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
N/AReachTBD
161 lbsWeight165 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Bison

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian StapletonNow 1473
If they win+24→ 1497
If they lose-24→ 1449
Sammy MorganNow 1472
If they win+24→ 1496
If they lose-24→ 1448

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.59
TBD
Strike accuracy
20%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.69
TBD
Strike defense
40%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.98

Trajectory

Brian StapletonSammy Morgan
15002006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
12 (71%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Stapleton60%
Sammy Morgan 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 60% favorite over Sammy Morgan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1473 vs 1472), separated by just 1 points.

Sammy Morgan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sammy Morgan 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.