Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Stapleton vs Steve Berger

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Steve Berger
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Steve Berger

“The Red Nose Pitbull”

20-23-2WelterweightRTP

1473Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record20-23-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
N/AReachTBD
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamBerger MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian StapletonNow 1473
If they win+24→ 1497
If they lose-24→ 1449
Steve BergerNow 1473
If they win+12→ 1485
If they lose-12→ 1461

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1479 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.62
TBD
Strike accuracy
23%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.60
TBD
Strike defense
36%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.72
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
17%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.15

Trajectory

Brian StapletonSteve Berger
1500201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (10%)
0 (0%)
Submission
14 (70%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Stapleton61%
Steve Berger 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 61% favorite over Steve Berger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1473 vs 1473), separated by just 0 points.

Steve Berger enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Steve Berger 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.