Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Stapleton vs Steve White

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record1-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
N/AReachTBD
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Wildman Vale Tudo

What's at stake

Brian Stapleton is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Steve White carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brian StapletonNow 1473
If they win+21→ 1494
If they lose-27→ 1446
Steve WhiteNow 1432
If they win+27→ 1459
If they lose-21→ 1411

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brian StapletonSteve White
1450200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Combat Edge model read

Brian Stapleton63%
Steve White 37%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 63% favorite over Steve White in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Brian Stapleton holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1473 to 1432, a 41-point edge.

Steve White enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.