Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Stapleton vs Tim Roman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Roman
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Tim Roman

“The Contract Killer”

3-4-0WelterweightXKO

1472Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record3-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
N/AReachUnknown
161 lbsWeight171 lbs
TBDTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian StapletonNow 1473
If they win+24→ 1497
If they lose-24→ 1449
Tim RomanNow 1472
If they win+24→ 1496
If they lose-24→ 1448

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.04
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.65
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.14
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
65%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Brian StapletonTim Roman
15002015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Stapleton60%
Tim Roman 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 60% favorite over Tim Roman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1473 vs 1472), separated by just 1 points.

Tim Roman 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.