Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Stapleton vs Townsend Saunders

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record0-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'5"
N/AReachTBD
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian StapletonNow 1473
If they win+23→ 1496
If they lose-25→ 1448
Townsend SaundersNow 1465
If they win+25→ 1490
If they lose-23→ 1442

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brian StapletonTownsend Saunders
1450150019992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Combat Edge model read

Brian Stapleton60%
Townsend Saunders 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 60% favorite over Townsend Saunders in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1473 vs 1465), separated by just 8 points.

Townsend Saunders enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.