Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Stapleton vs Wendell Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record31-16-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
N/AReachTBD
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamWar Machine

What's at stake

Brian Stapleton is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Wendell Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brian StapletonNow 1473
If they win+22→ 1495
If they lose-26→ 1447
Wendell OliveiraNow 1444
If they win+17→ 1461
If they lose-15→ 1429

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.77
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brian StapletonWendell Oliveira
145020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
12 (39%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (13%)
0 (0%)
Decision
15 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Stapleton60%
Wendell Oliveira 40%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 60% favorite over Wendell Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Brian Stapleton holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1473 to 1444, a 29-point edge.

Wendell Oliveira enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Wendell Oliveira 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.