Brian Stapleton vs William Macario
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
N/AReachTBD
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamPejor
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1496
If they lose-25→ 1448
If they win+25→ 1487
If they lose-23→ 1439
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian StapletonWilliam Macario
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brian Stapleton53%
William Macario 47%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 53% favorite over William Macario in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1473 vs 1462), separated by just 11 points.
William Macario enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
William Macario 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.